Your question
What company value can be substantiated?
I show what supports your business earnings, which risks affect value and which opportunities matter to a buyer. You receive a reasoned valuation and the calculations behind your next decision.
The initial conversation is free and without obligation. No financial documents are needed in advance.
What company value can be substantiated?
Earnings capacity, exceptional items, future needs and buyer perspectives.
A documented valuation range with calculations and outstanding assumptions.
A single method rarely explains the whole business. I select the approach for your question and cross-check the results.
Earnings × a comparable factor. Useful for an initial view. Comparability, the earnings basis and factor need examination.
Convert future free cash flows into today’s value. Shows what remains after tax, investment and additional working capital.
Assess sustainable earnings systematically. The German AWH method may suit crafts businesses; this is not a simulated AWH valuation report.
Assess assets and obligations. A complementary view that does not fully capture customer relationships or future earnings.
The worked example uses multiples and DCF. Every factor, discount rate and tax assumption is invented. They are not current market benchmarks.
The fictional Weserwerk Montage GmbH has 22 employees and €2.8 million annual revenue. Its owner is preparing for a transfer. We value 100% of the shares in this German limited company as at 31 December 2026, assuming continued operation.
Before checking unusual items and necessary future costs.
Initial operating business value before debt, cash and working capital adjustment.
We examine the earnings before multiplying them by a factor.
The company, records and every result are fictional. “Operating business value” means enterprise value here; the value of the shares follows later.
Normalisation increases value only when the adjustment is supported. Costs that continue after the transfer stay in the calculation.
I examine relocation invoices and recurrence risk, replacement management duties and pay, business use of vehicles and maintenance requirements. Any one-off maintenance backlog would need a separate assessment; this example includes ongoing maintenance only.
Removing all owner-manager pay would be wrong: someone must run the business. Necessary vehicles also remain. This makes the higher figure explainable.
Operating business value before debt and cash.
The earnings basis changes; the factor stays the same.
Calculated difference, not a promised additional sale receipt.
For 2027 we start with normalised EBITDA, then allow for tax, necessary investment and additional cash tied up in operations. “Free cash flow” here is cash generated by the business before payments to lenders and owners.
The €12,000 ongoing maintenance is already in normalised EBITDA. The €65,000 capital expenditure is additional capitalised spending, deducted separately. The same expense is not counted twice. Tax payments are assumed to fall in the same year.
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| Calculation | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | €2,800,000 | €2,884,000 | €2,971,000 | €3,060,000 | €3,152,000 |
| EBITDA | €315,000 | €327,000 | €341,000 | €353,000 | €365,000 |
| Depreciation | -€55,000 | -€56,000 | -€57,000 | -€59,000 | -€60,000 |
| EBIT | €260,000 | €271,000 | €284,000 | €294,000 | €305,000 |
| Income tax | -€78,000 | -€81,300 | -€85,200 | -€88,200 | -€91,500 |
| Add depreciation back | €55,000 | €56,000 | €57,000 | €59,000 | €60,000 |
| Capital expenditure | -€65,000 | -€66,000 | -€68,000 | -€69,000 | -€70,000 |
| Additional working capital | -€12,000 | -€12,000 | -€12,000 | -€12,000 | -€12,000 |
| Free cash flow | €160,000 | €167,700 | €175,800 | €183,800 | €191,500 |
Revenue increases from €2.8 million to €3.152 million and EBITDA from €315,000 to €365,000. Depreciation, investment and additional working capital are planned separately. Existing debt enters the equity bridge later; interest and principal are not also deducted from these free cash flows.
At the assumed required return, a future euro is worth less than a euro today. DCF therefore discounts each planned cash flow to 31 December 2026. We assume a 14% annual discount rate and year-end cash flows.
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| Year | EBITDA | Free cash flow | Discount factor | Value at valuation date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | €315,000 | €160,000 | 0.877 | €140,351 |
| 2028 | €327,000 | €167,700 | 0.769 | €129,040 |
| 2029 | €341,000 | €175,800 | 0.675 | €118,660 |
| 2030 | €353,000 | €183,800 | 0.592 | €108,824 |
| 2031 | €365,000 | €191,500 | 0.519 | €99,459 |
The explicit five-year forecast.
Later cash flows discounted to the same valuation date.
Enterprise value before debt, cash and working capital adjustment.
For continuation, final-year free cash flow is assumed to grow by 1.5% annually forever, including the investment and working capital needed to support it. This requires examination in a real project. About 58% of baseline value comes from continuation, making that assumption particularly important. Individual figures are rounded to whole euros.
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| Discount rate | 0.5% growth | 1.5% growth | 2.5% growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 % | €1,576,762 | €1,677,550 | €1,799,556 |
| 14 % | €1,336,752 | €1,403,942 | €1,482,817 |
| 16 % | €1,159,045 | €1,206,103 | €1,260,133 |
Operating business value with the baseline cash flows unchanged. This shows the effect of invented assumptions, not an assessed market price range. The discount rate must exceed long-term growth.
Some established customers could leave after a transfer. This is a risk scenario assumption, not a finding about the fictional business.
Annual revenue loss from 2027 onwards.
Annual EBITDA reduction; variable cost savings are already allowed for.
Investment and working capital remain unchanged.
Customers stay; 14% discount rate.
The loss also persists into the continuation period.
Shows why customer retention matters to valuation.
I examine customer concentration, contracts, contact people, repeat orders and transition plans. Retention measures may change the scenario but can also bring costs. This risk is modelled directly in cash flow; the same effect is not also penalised through a higher discount rate.
A strategic buyer may combine purchasing and administration. Benefits count only if additional to normalised earnings and after implementation costs.
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| Effect | Annual assumption | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Purchasing improvements | + €25,000 | Additional; supported by terms and volumes. |
| Shared administration | + €20,000 | Additional; necessary duties still covered. |
| Extra coordination | − €10,000 | Additional work between the businesses. |
| Recurring net benefit | €35,000 | Before tax; only 50% realised in year one. |
| One-off integration | − €40,000 in year one | Assumed immediately deductible expense, including its tax effect. |
Integration costs exceed benefits in year one.
Additional annual free cash flow.
Value to this hypothetical buyer, not guaranteed seller proceeds.
Replacement management and necessary vehicles remain included. Earlier normalisation adjustments are not counted again as synergies. Additional capital spending or integration disadvantages would also enter the calculation. The buyer and its operating plan must support the continuing benefits.
DCF values operations before financing. To value 100% of the shares, we account for existing financial debt, eligible cash and agreed working capital. We start with the baseline without buyer benefits.
This means operating inventory and receivables less trade payables, excluding cash and financial loans. The business is to transfer with an agreed normal level. A €30,000 shortfall is deducted from equity value under the assumed pricing mechanism.
The planned annual €12,000 increase concerns future operations. The one-off €30,000 shortfall concerns the transfer date and is not also deducted as a first-year cash outflow. Definitions, the date and settlement mechanism require agreement in a real transaction.
Here we always compare the value of 100% of the shares, with identical debt, cash and working capital adjustments. This makes the results comparable.
€240,000 × 4.5 − €310,000 adjustments.
€315,000 × 4.5 − €310,000 adjustments.
Forecast including investment, tax and working capital.
In this example, supported adjustments justify a higher value than the simple multiple. DCF sits slightly below the normalised multiple. That is useful: it reveals the investment and assumptions behind the figure. Customer risks can reduce value again; buyer benefits can create additional room for negotiation.
Four cases and three discount rates provide twelve calculated combinations. Customer loss and buyer benefits can be selected separately or together. Earlier worked calculations and workbook extracts remain the baseline at 14%.
Baseline: customers stay · 14 % discount rate. Planned customer relationships are retained. No buyer-specific benefits are included.
All four cases: 100% of the shares, with the same −€310,000 adjustment. Dark blue marks your selection.
Baseline: customers stay · 14 %
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| Year | EBITDA | Free cash flow | Discount factor | Value at valuation date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | €315,000 | €160,000 | 0.877 | €140,351 |
| 2028 | €327,000 | €167,700 | 0.769 | €129,040 |
| 2029 | €341,000 | €175,800 | 0.675 | €118,660 |
| 2030 | €353,000 | €183,800 | 0.592 | €108,824 |
| 2031 | €365,000 | €191,500 | 0.519 | €99,459 |
Without buyer-specific benefits there is no separate synergy premium. Equity value remains a basis for negotiation.
Buyer cases show a buyer-specific value perspective. They do not automatically increase standalone value. Long-term growth stays at 1.5% here.
I document earnings adjustments, the forecast, appropriate valuation approaches and the main value drivers. Where included in the scope, you receive a system or file you can update yourself.
Download the editable example workbook (.xlsx) ↓Five worksheets with formulas. Change case 0–3 and discount rate on the Inputs sheet. Every figure is fictional. This is a demonstration, not a template for an unchecked transaction.
A clearly scoped valuation can be delivered within the Finance Decision System. Scope, evidence, purpose and required output determine the proposal.
This detailed example illustrates the breadth of expertise. Multiple buyer models, extensive data preparation or additional scenarios may require a broader scope and higher fee. Both are agreed before commissioning.
If valuation is followed by an actual transfer, I support preparation, commercial discussions and comparison of offers. The monthly retainer and completion fee are agreed separately.
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I am Roman Braun, founder of Deistermind. I examine the financial evidence, build the appropriate calculations and discuss what they mean for your decision. Unresolved assumptions remain visible.
Clarify your objective, position and available records.
Agree deliverables, timing and price.
Examine assumptions and calculate relevant alternatives.
Discuss the results and continue using the model.
I provide financial analysis and modelling. Tax, legal and formally required assessments belong with the appropriate specialists.
It provides an explainable basis for decisions and negotiations. Price also depends on the buyer, financing, contract terms and verified assumptions. A higher sale price is not promised.
You receive the agreed analysis and, where included in the scope, an editable system or file. The format depends on your records and how you work. This demonstration uses .xlsx.
The service described supports commercial decisions and negotiations. It does not promise a specific valuation standard or a tax, court or other formally prescribed report. We agree the intended purpose and requirements first.
Depending on your question: annual accounts, current management accounts, plans, loans, customer mix and relevant contracts. We establish the actual requirements in the free initial conversation.
Methodological background: IHK FrankfurtZDH · AWHNYU Stern · Synergy
Sale, acquisition, transfer or an initial assessment: the free conversation establishes your question and the appropriate scope. You then receive a specific proposal.
Book a free introductory call →Opens external appointment booking with Calendly.